Saturday, March 19, 2016

Manufacturing Jobs Are NOT Coming Back

Speaking at the National Association of Workforce Boards (NAWB) Conference, Vivek Wadhwa said:

 "we need to understand innovation so we aren't focused on solving yesterday's problems"...

Are schools set up to challenge yesterday's problems or tomorrows?

If they are worried about  segregating, ordering, rating, separating, grading, competing, rewarding some and disciplining others - I think it's clear which it's focused on.

Two other pieces get to the same point:
Five Thirty Eight - Manufacturing Jobs Are Never Coming Back

"Here’s the problem: Whether or not those manufacturing jobs could have been saved, they aren’t coming back, at least not most of them. How do we know? Because in recent years, factories have been coming back, but the jobs haven’t. Because of rising wages in China, the need for shorter supply chains and other factors, a small but growing group of companies are shifting production back to the U.S. But the factories they build here are heavily automated, employing a small fraction of the workers they would have a generation ago." ...

Washington Post: Factory jobs trickle back to the U.S., giving hope to a once-booming mill town

"In 1994 there were 3.5 million more Americans working in manufacturing than in retail. Today, those numbers have almost exactly reversed, and the gap is widening. More than 80 percent of all private jobs are now in the service sector."

Every community college, especially those in rural areas, are ramping up for the pending manufacturing revival... training people for yesterday's problems. Every high school, especially those in rural areas, are focused on developing dual-enrollment programs so there students can earn practical, hands on skills to get "practical" jobs, at these returning companies.  The logic appears to be that some companies are just looking for people with the "right skills" to adopt and take care of for the next 35 years, at which point they'll give the employee their leave with a nice bonus and encourage them to move to Boca... it's a beautiful fairy tale, one which our parents bought hook, line, and sinker some 50 years ago...

And most challenging, it's the fantasy that Donald Trump is selling million's of people, that there is just a silver bullet fix that can return everything to they way they mis-remember them.



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